Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 64.228144 72.747351 81.497849 91.125020 101.387456 111.970011 123.677645
2025-06-08 50.271222 62.314432 75.296750 90.195752 106.692882 124.282945 144.341164
2025-06-15 43.173994 57.256395 72.978302 91.552484 112.637363 135.596518 162.261969
2025-06-22 37.919394 53.468186 71.374004 93.055515 118.174857 145.988243 178.754843
2025-06-29 32.505604 48.824725 68.212980 92.255198 120.647330 152.568704 190.657455
2025-07-06 27.331848 43.913169 64.261404 90.101233 121.186969 156.645945 199.459589
2025-07-13 25.510233 43.044717 65.064086 93.487140 128.108212 167.977449 216.486698
2025-07-20 23.345030 41.492783 64.834878 95.467858 133.243223 177.150733 230.969931
2025-07-27 20.485010 38.719427 62.832584 95.070771 135.367510 182.678542 241.129693
2025-08-03 17.826724 35.967519 60.655670 94.282651 136.876527 187.370974 250.226172
2025-08-10 15.963257 34.188739 59.636074 94.859835 139.980596 193.904695 261.447350
2025-08-17 13.902705 31.901942 57.770029 94.212098 141.459043 198.408354 270.205048
2025-08-24 12.313450 30.219502 56.669075 94.538613 144.172323 204.454601 280.889131
2025-08-31 10.501223 27.968838 54.621228 93.494973 145.069150 208.236671 288.832908
2025-09-07 9.532504 27.043906 54.421614 94.895722 149.062528 215.800070 301.325454
2025-09-14 8.689717 26.246356 54.349367 96.428069 153.199726 223.529418 314.020035
2025-09-21 7.393681 24.441506 52.645151 95.611259 154.209817 227.327820 321.901336
2025-09-28 5.967891 22.153106 50.042327 93.411463 153.307416 228.664769 326.718101
2025-10-05 5.779116 22.382691 51.409545 96.869124 159.920826 239.469650 343.183576
2025-10-12 5.340561 22.019009 51.791892 98.891309 164.610467 247.847525 356.671650
2025-10-19 4.530013 20.699317 50.539026 98.485938 166.003596 252.023399 364.956580
2025-10-26 3.752398 19.298744 49.059892 97.681331 166.808575 255.417297 372.250040
2025-11-02 3.258454 18.499533 48.546108 98.270595 169.485706 261.192327 382.500573